Nottingham Forest vs Birmingham: result 1-3 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 2, 2011 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Full time
What was the result of Nottingham Forest vs Birmingham?
Birmingham won 1-3 on October 2, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 35′Ishmael MillerNottingham Forest
- 75′Christopher Robert BurkeBirmingham
- 79′C. WoodBirmingham
- 88′C. WoodBirmingham
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Nottingham Forest have 3 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Birmingham have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2011 | Burnley(away) | 1-5 | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2011 | Watford(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2011 | Newcastle(home) | 3-4 | League Cup |
| Sep 17, 2011 | Derby(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 10, 2011 | Southampton(away) | 2-3 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2011 | Barnsley(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 21, 2011 | Manchester City(away) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 18, 2011 | Southampton(away) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2011 | Millwall(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Aug 28, 2011 | Watford(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Nottingham Forest score 1.8 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 12; Birmingham score 1.1 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 1.8 | 2.3 | 3 | 8/12 | 8/12 |
| Birmingham | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Birmingham | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy