Nottingham Forest vs Burton Albion: result 4-3 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 1Kick-off on August 6, 2016 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
Full time
What was the result of Nottingham Forest vs Burton Albion?
Nottingham Forest won 4-3 on August 6, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 23′B. AssombalongaNottingham Forest
- 27′L. AkinsBurton Albion
- 30′Lloyd DyerBurton Albion
- 45′T. LamNottingham Forest
- 49′O. BurkeNottingham Forest
- 77′B. AssombalongaNottingham Forest
- 90′T. NaylorBurton Albion
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nottingham Forest have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Burton Albion have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2016 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Apr 30, 2016 | Wolves(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Apr 23, 2016 | Fulham(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Apr 19, 2016 | Blackburn(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Apr 16, 2016 | Rotherham(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2016 | Doncaster(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Apr 30, 2016 | Gillingham(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Apr 23, 2016 | Colchester(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Apr 19, 2016 | Wigan(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Apr 16, 2016 | Barnsley(home) | 0-0 | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Nottingham Forest score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Burton Albion score 1.0 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 0.8 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Burton Albion | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy