Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, Dorset
The Footlab AI model makes Bournemouth the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Crystal Palace. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bournemouth wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Bournemouth (2,205) and Crystal Palace (2,147).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bournemouth
4-2-3-1- 9Evanilson
- 16M. Tavernier
- 12T. Adams
- 37Rayan
- 10R. Christie
- 7D. Brooks
- 14António Silva
- 15A. Smith
- 5J. Hill
- 3A. Truffert
- 1Đ. Petrović
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1- 22J. Strand Larsen
- 3T. Mitchell
- 20A. Wharton
- 10Yeremy Pino
- 23Q. Timber
- 18D. Kamada
- 25A. Khalaili
- 26C. Richards
- 6J. Canvot
- 8J. Lerma
- 44W. Benítez
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bournemouth have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Crystal Palace have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Sturm Graz(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 1-5 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Liverpool(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Real Sociedad(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Brentford(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Lech Poznan(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Bournemouth wins, 3 draws, 0 Crystal Palace wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Bournemouth 3-0 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Crystal Palace 3-3 Bournemouth | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Crystal Palace 0-0 Bournemouth | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Bournemouth 0-0 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Apr 2, 2024 | Bournemouth 1-0 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Dec 6, 2023 | Crystal Palace 0-2 Bournemouth | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bournemouth score 2.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Crystal Palace score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth | 2.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Crystal Palace | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bournemouth sit 18th in Premier League (3 points from 6 matches) and Crystal Palace sit 12th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 3 |
A question about Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bournemouth the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Crystal Palace.
- Where and when is Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace played?
- Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Vitality Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.