Notts County vs Peterborough: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 44Kick-off on April 27, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Meadow Lane, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Notts County the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Peterborough. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Notts County vs Peterborough?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Notts County (1,863) and Peterborough (1,840).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notts County have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Peterborough have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Luton(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leicester(home) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Burnley(away) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Watford(away) | 5-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mansfield Town(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bradford(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | West Brom(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Notts County win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Peterborough win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | Peterborough 4-3 Notts County | FA Cup |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Peterborough 4-3 Notts County | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 20, 2016 | Peterborough 2-0 Notts County | FA Cup |
| Dec 4, 2016 | Notts County 2-2 Peterborough | FA Cup |
| Jan 24, 2015 | Notts County 1-2 Peterborough | League One |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Peterborough 0-0 Notts County | League One |
Last archived meeting: Peterborough vs Notts County on Nov 30, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Notts County score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Peterborough score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Peterborough | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Notts County sit 15th in League One (2 points from 2 matches) and Peterborough sit 13th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Peterborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | Notts County | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Notts County vs Peterborough?
- The Footlab model makes Notts County the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Peterborough.
- Where and when is Notts County vs Peterborough played?
- Notts County vs Peterborough is played on April 27, 2027 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Meadow Lane, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.