Notts County vs Milton Keynes Dons: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 45Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Meadow Lane, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire
The Footlab AI model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Notts County. The most likely score is 1-1. If Milton Keynes Dons wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,615 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Notts County vs Milton Keynes Dons?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Notts County (1,865) and Milton Keynes Dons (1,882).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Notts County vs Milton Keynes Dons
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Notts County
3-4-2-1- 39L. Ndlovu
- 7C. Roberts
- 15J. Evans
- 25N. Tsaroulla
- 27R. Finneran
- 6M. Sanders
- 8O. Cooper
- 12L. Ness
- 4J. Bedeau
- 3R. McDonald
- 1J. Gibbons
Milton Keynes Dons
3-1-4-2- 10A. Collins
- 9S. Nombe
- 24R. Wintle
- 8A. Gilbey
- 17S. Silvera
- 22I. Fullah
- 20Elijah Xavier Campbell
- 5C. Goode
- 21M. Ekpiteta
- 32J. Sanders
- 23W. Dennis
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 07:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Notts County have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Milton Keynes Dons have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Nottingham Forest U21(home) | 5-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Reading(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Luton(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Reading(home) | 1-5 | League One |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Brentford U21(home) | 7-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Crawley Town(home) | 4-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 17, 2026 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 0-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Notts County wins, 3 draws, 0 Milton Keynes Dons wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 Notts County | League Two |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Notts County 3-2 Milton Keynes Dons | League Two |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Notts County 3-0 Milton Keynes Dons | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Milton Keynes Dons 0-2 Notts County | League Two |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Notts County 3-3 Milton Keynes Dons | League Two |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Milton Keynes Dons 1-1 Notts County | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Milton Keynes Dons vs Notts County on Dec 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Notts County score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Milton Keynes Dons score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Milton Keynes Dons | 1.7 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Notts County sit 23rd in League One (7 points from 9 matches) and Milton Keynes Dons sit 18th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Milton Keynes Dons | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 23 | Notts County | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Notts County vs Milton Keynes Dons?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Notts County vs Milton Keynes Dons?
- The Footlab AI model makes Milton Keynes Dons the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Notts County.
- Where and when is Notts County vs Milton Keynes Dons played?
- Notts County vs Milton Keynes Dons is played on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Meadow Lane, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.