Match

Union Brescia vs Novara: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 37Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Mario Rigamonti, Brescia

Union BresciaNovara

The Footlab AI model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Novara. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,673 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Union Brescia vs Novara?

Union Brescia starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,931 vs 1,767).

60%24%16%
Union Brescia winDrawNovara win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Union Brescia vs Novara

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Union Brescia

4-3-3
  1. 9V. Crespi
  2. 91A. Spagnoli
  3. 30J. Pellegrini
  1. 25A. Rizzo Pinna
  2. 6A. Mercati
  3. 8D. Balestrero
  1. 28L. Silvestri
  2. 15T. Casasola
  3. 24B. Boci
  4. 95S. Sina
  1. 43G. Zacchi

Novara

4-3-3
  1. 14M. Romano
  2. 20M. Da Graca
  3. 9D. Zuppel
  1. 99G. Basso
  2. 19R. Collodel
  3. 23E. Zambataro
  1. 28A. Cannavaro
  2. 70A. Valdesi
  3. 15O. Khailoti
  4. 5F. Lorenzini
  1. 33F. Brancolini

Computed on October 27, 2026 at 08:11 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Brescia have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Novara have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Union Brescia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Cittadella(home)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 19, 2026Giana Erminio(away)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 9, 2026PRO Vercelli(home)2-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2026Lecco(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 27, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(home)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Novara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Arzignano Valchiampo(away)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 18, 2026Albinoleffe(away)2-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 10, 2026Cittadella(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 4, 2026Dolomiti Bellunesi(away)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Ospitaletto(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Union Brescia wins, 2 draws, 0 Novara wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 7, 2026Novara 0-0 Union BresciaSerie C - Girone A
Sep 25, 2025Union Brescia 1-1 NovaraSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Novara vs Union Brescia on Feb 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Union Brescia score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Union Brescia1.71.158/158/15
Novara0.91.337/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Union Brescia sit 3rd in Serie C - Girone A (22 points from 11 matches) and Novara sit 16th (10 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Union Brescia1164119922
16Novara11245101610

A question about Union Brescia vs Novara?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Union Brescia vs Novara?
The Footlab AI model makes Union Brescia the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Novara.
Where and when is Union Brescia vs Novara played?
Union Brescia vs Novara is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mario Rigamonti, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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