Novorizontino vs Hercílio Luz: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie DRegular Season - 2Kick-off on May 10, 2019 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Novorizontino vs Hercílio Luz?
Novorizontino won 1-0 on May 10, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 59′CarlãoNovorizontino
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Novorizontino have 4 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Hercílio Luz have 1, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2019 | Itaboraí(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 23, 2018 | Linense(home) | 2-2 | Serie D |
| Jun 18, 2018 | Linense(away) | 2-3 | Serie D |
| Jun 9, 2018 | Macaé(away) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 2, 2018 | Macaé(home) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2019 | Tupi(home) | 2-1 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Novorizontino score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 11; Hercílio Luz score 2.0 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novorizontino | 1.6 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/11 | 7/11 |
| Hercílio Luz | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0 | 1/1 | 1/1 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy