Novorizontino vs Operario-PR: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 36Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, Novo Horizonte, São Paulo
The Footlab model makes Novorizontino the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Operario-PR. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novorizontino vs Operario-PR?
Novorizontino starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,943 vs 1,835).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novorizontino have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Operario-PR have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 20, 2026 | America Mineiro(home) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | CRB(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Juventude(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Londrina(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vila Nova(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Cuiaba(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Avai(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 7, 2026 | São Bernardo(home) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Novorizontino win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Operario-PR win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | Operario-PR 2-1 Novorizontino | Serie B |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Operario-PR 1-1 Novorizontino | Copa Sul-Sudeste |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Novorizontino 3-0 Operario-PR | Serie B |
| Jun 23, 2025 | Operario-PR 2-0 Novorizontino | Serie B |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Novorizontino 0-1 Operario-PR | Serie B |
| Jul 24, 2024 | Operario-PR 0-0 Novorizontino | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Operario-PR vs Novorizontino on Jul 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Novorizontino score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Operario-PR score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novorizontino | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Operario-PR | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Novorizontino sit 5th in Serie B (37 points from 23 matches) and Operario-PR sit 7th (36 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Novorizontino | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 20 | 37 |
| 7 | Operario-PR | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30 | 31 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novorizontino vs Operario-PR?
- The Footlab model makes Novorizontino the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Operario-PR.
- Where and when is Novorizontino vs Operario-PR played?
- Novorizontino vs Operario-PR is played on October 31, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.