Nublense vs U. Catolica: result 1-2 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 7Kick-off on March 3, 2023 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Bicentenario Municipal Nelson Oyarzún, Chillán
Full time
What was the result of Nublense vs U. Catolica?
U. Catolica won 1-2 on March 3, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 45′L. AbasciaNublense
- 64′A. AravenaU. Catolica
- 90′F. ZampedriU. Catolica
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nublense have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; U. Catolica have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2023 | Union La Calera(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Cobresal(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 13, 2023 | Colo Colo(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Jan 27, 2023 | Magallanes(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Jan 20, 2023 | Union Espanola(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | Palestino(home) | 5-2 | Primera División |
| Feb 18, 2023 | A. Italiano(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Cobresal(home) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Feb 11, 2023 | LDU de Quito(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 3, 2023 | Coquimbo Unido(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Nublense win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 U. Catolica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2022 | U. Catolica 2-2 Nublense | Primera División |
| May 8, 2022 | Nublense 4-0 U. Catolica | Primera División |
| Nov 18, 2021 | U. Catolica 1-1 Nublense | Super Cup |
| Aug 25, 2021 | U. Catolica 2-2 Nublense | Primera División |
| Mar 28, 2021 | Nublense 0-1 U. Catolica | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: U. Catolica vs Nublense on Oct 8, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Nublense score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; U. Catolica score 1.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nublense | 1.6 | 1.2 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| U. Catolica | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nublense sit 8th in Primera División (22 points from 15 matches) and U. Catolica sit 2nd (26 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | U. Catolica | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 35 | 20 | 26 |
| 3 | Nublense | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 32 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 41 | 28 | 30 |
| 8 | Nublense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 22 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy