Nublense vs Coquimbo Unido: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 25Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Bicentenario Municipal Nelson Oyarzún, Chillán
The Footlab model makes Nublense the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Coquimbo Unido. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nublense vs Coquimbo Unido?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate Nublense (1,808) and Coquimbo Unido (1,880).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nublense have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Coquimbo Unido have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | U. Catolica(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Union La Calera(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 11, 2026 | A. Italiano(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(home) | 1-0 | Copa Chile |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Palestino(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Concepción(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Platense(home) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Platense(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | D. La Serena(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | San Marcos de Arica(home) | 1-0 | Copa Chile |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nublense win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Coquimbo Unido win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Coquimbo Unido 1-1 Nublense | Primera División |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Coquimbo Unido 2-1 Nublense | Primera División |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Nublense 0-0 Coquimbo Unido | Primera División |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Coquimbo Unido 1-0 Nublense | Primera División |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Nublense 0-0 Coquimbo Unido | Primera División |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Coquimbo Unido 1-3 Nublense | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Coquimbo Unido vs Nublense on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nublense score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Coquimbo Unido score 1.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nublense | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Coquimbo Unido | 1.1 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nublense sit 8th in Primera División (22 points from 15 matches) and Coquimbo Unido sit 4th (24 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Coquimbo Unido | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 24 |
| 4 | Nublense | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26 | 23 | 32 |
| 8 | Nublense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 19 | 22 |
| 9 | Coquimbo Unido | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nublense vs Coquimbo Unido?
- The Footlab model makes Nublense the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Coquimbo Unido.
- Where and when is Nublense vs Coquimbo Unido played?
- Nublense vs Coquimbo Unido is played on October 25, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Bicentenario Municipal Nelson Oyarzún, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.