Where and when is NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise played?

NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise is played on September 2, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at MCU Park, in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on September 2, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)MCU Park, New York

NY Cosmos

Sarasota Paradise

The Footlab model makes NY Cosmos the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Sarasota Paradise. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise?

A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate NY Cosmos (1,595) and Sarasota Paradise (1,670).

NY Cosmos win38 %

Draw26 %

Sarasota Paradise win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, NY Cosmos have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Sarasota Paradise have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

NY Cosmos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Chattanooga Red Wolves(away)	3-3	USL League One
Aug 20, 2026	Corpus Christi(away)	2-0	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	Alta(home)	1-0	USL League One
Aug 5, 2026	Richmond Kickers(away)	0-2	USL League One
Jul 25, 2026	Boise(home)	1-2	USL League One

Sarasota Paradise
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Union Omaha(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 19, 2026	Chattanooga Red Wolves(home)	3-2	USL League One
Aug 15, 2026	Charlotte Independence(away)	1-3	USL League One
Aug 8, 2026	One Knoxville(away)	1-2	USL League One
Jul 29, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 NY Cosmos win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sarasota Paradise win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 30, 2026	Sarasota Paradise 2-1 NY Cosmos	USL League One

Last archived meeting: Sarasota Paradise vs NY Cosmos on May 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

NY Cosmos score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sarasota Paradise score 1.2 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
NY Cosmos	0.9	1.9	4	8/15	9/15
Sarasota Paradise	1.2	1.6	5	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

NY Cosmos sit 17th in USL League One (18 points from 21 matches) and Sarasota Paradise sit 14th (22 points from 22 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	Sarasota Paradise	22	6	4	12	23	36	22
17	NY Cosmos	21	5	3	13	24	43	18

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise?: The Footlab model makes NY Cosmos the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Sarasota Paradise.
Where and when is NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise played?: NY Cosmos vs Sarasota Paradise is played on September 2, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at MCU Park, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.