Nyasa Big Bullets vs CIVO United: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Kamuzu Stadium, Blantyre
The Footlab model makes Nyasa Big Bullets the favourite at 60%, against 27% for a draw and 13% for CIVO United. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nyasa Big Bullets vs CIVO United?
Nyasa Big Bullets starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (1,686 vs 1,518).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nyasa Big Bullets have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; CIVO United have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Karonga United(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chitipa United(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dedza Dynamos(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Creck(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | MAFCO(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Blue Eagles(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Masters FC(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Red Lions(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Moyale Barracks(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Nyasa Big Bullets win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 CIVO United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | CIVO United 2-2 Nyasa Big Bullets | Super League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Nyasa Big Bullets 4-3 CIVO United | Super League |
| Jul 12, 2025 | CIVO United 2-1 Nyasa Big Bullets | Super League |
| Nov 27, 2024 | CIVO United 2-2 Nyasa Big Bullets | Super League |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Nyasa Big Bullets 1-1 CIVO United | Super League |
| Aug 30, 2023 | Nyasa Big Bullets 3-2 CIVO United | Super League |
Last archived meeting: CIVO United vs Nyasa Big Bullets on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nyasa Big Bullets score 1.3 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; CIVO United score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyasa Big Bullets | 1.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| CIVO United | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nyasa Big Bullets sit 4th in Super League (27 points from 14 matches) and CIVO United sit 11th (17 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nyasa Big Bullets | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 27 |
| 6 | Nyasa Big Bullets | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 11 | CIVO United | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | CIVO United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nyasa Big Bullets vs CIVO United?
- The Footlab model makes Nyasa Big Bullets the favourite at 60%, against 27% for a draw and 13% for CIVO United.
- Where and when is Nyasa Big Bullets vs CIVO United played?
- Nyasa Big Bullets vs CIVO United is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Kamuzu Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.