Creck vs Red Lions: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Creck the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Red Lions. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Creck vs Red Lions?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Creck (1,458) and Red Lions (1,405).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Creck have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Red Lions have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ekhaya(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dedza Dynamos(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Silver Strikers(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Karonga United(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Moyale Barracks(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kamuzu Barracks(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | CIVO United(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Blue Eagles(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Creck win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Red Lions win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Red Lions 1-1 Creck | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Creck score 0.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Red Lions score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Creck | 0.8 | 1.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Red Lions | 0.8 | 1.3 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Creck sit 16th in Super League (9 points from 14 matches) and Red Lions sit 8th (19 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Red Lions | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Red Lions | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 19 |
| 16 | Creck | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 9 |
| 16 | Creck | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Creck vs Red Lions?
- The Footlab model makes Creck the favourite at 38%, against 33% for a draw and 29% for Red Lions.
- Where and when is Creck vs Red Lions played?
- Creck vs Red Lions is played on October 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC), in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.