Moyale Barracks vs Nyasa Big Bullets: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Mzuzu Stadium, Mzuzu
The Footlab AI model makes Nyasa Big Bullets the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Moyale Barracks. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,861 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Moyale Barracks vs Nyasa Big Bullets?
Nyasa Big Bullets starts as the favourite with a 228-point Elo edge (1,706 vs 1,477).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Moyale Barracks vs Nyasa Big Bullets
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Moyale Barracks
Not enough data to predict the Moyale Barracks lineup.
Nyasa Big Bullets
4-3-3- 19Lanjesi Nkhoma
- 13E. Kondowe
- 17Y. Singo
- 18A. Adebare Babatunde
- 24R. Chitiyo
- 26L. Aaron
- 15Gomezgani Chirwa
- 5C. Senaji
- 7Precious Mavuto Sambani
- 3Nickson Nyasulu
- 1Richard Chimbamba
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 02:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moyale Barracks have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Nyasa Big Bullets have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Silver Strikers(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Creck(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | MAFCO(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kamuzu Barracks(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Red Lions(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | MAFCO(away) | 3-0 | Super League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Blue Eagles(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Silver Strikers(home) | 5-0 | Super League |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Karonga United(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Moyale Barracks win, 3 draws, 2 Nyasa Big Bullets wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets 1-1 Moyale Barracks | Super League |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Moyale Barracks 2-0 Nyasa Big Bullets | Super League |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Nyasa Big Bullets 3-0 Moyale Barracks | Super League |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Nyasa Big Bullets 1-1 Moyale Barracks | Super League |
| May 27, 2024 | Moyale Barracks 0-0 Nyasa Big Bullets | Super League |
| Oct 17, 2023 | Moyale Barracks 2-3 Nyasa Big Bullets | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Nyasa Big Bullets vs Moyale Barracks on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Moyale Barracks score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nyasa Big Bullets score 1.5 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moyale Barracks | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Nyasa Big Bullets | 1.5 | 0.3 | 10 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moyale Barracks sit 10th in Super League (21 points from 16 matches) and Nyasa Big Bullets sit 2nd (33 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nyasa Big Bullets | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 33 |
| 10 | Moyale Barracks | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 21 |
A question about Moyale Barracks vs Nyasa Big Bullets?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Moyale Barracks vs Nyasa Big Bullets?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nyasa Big Bullets the favourite at 55%, against 28% for a draw and 17% for Moyale Barracks.
- Where and when is Moyale Barracks vs Nyasa Big Bullets played?
- Moyale Barracks vs Nyasa Big Bullets is played on November 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Mzuzu Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.