Moyale Barracks vs Nyasa Big Bullets: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Mzuzu Stadium, Mzuzu
The Footlab model makes Nyasa Big Bullets the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Moyale Barracks. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Moyale Barracks vs Nyasa Big Bullets?
Nyasa Big Bullets starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,686 vs 1,498).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Moyale Barracks have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Nyasa Big Bullets have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kamuzu Barracks(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Red Lions(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Blue Eagles(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | CIVO United(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mitundu Baptist(away) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Karonga United(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chitipa United(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dedza Dynamos(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Creck(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Moyale Barracks win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Nyasa Big Bullets win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets 1-1 Moyale Barracks | Super League |
| Dec 10, 2025 | Moyale Barracks 2-0 Nyasa Big Bullets | Super League |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Nyasa Big Bullets 3-0 Moyale Barracks | Super League |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Nyasa Big Bullets 1-1 Moyale Barracks | Super League |
| May 27, 2024 | Moyale Barracks 0-0 Nyasa Big Bullets | Super League |
| Oct 17, 2023 | Moyale Barracks 2-3 Nyasa Big Bullets | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Nyasa Big Bullets vs Moyale Barracks on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Moyale Barracks score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nyasa Big Bullets score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moyale Barracks | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Nyasa Big Bullets | 1.3 | 0.5 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Moyale Barracks sit 9th in Super League (18 points from 14 matches) and Nyasa Big Bullets sit 4th (27 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nyasa Big Bullets | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 27 |
| 6 | Nyasa Big Bullets | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | Moyale Barracks | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 18 |
| 9 | Moyale Barracks | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Moyale Barracks vs Nyasa Big Bullets?
- The Footlab model makes Nyasa Big Bullets the favourite at 45%, against 31% for a draw and 24% for Moyale Barracks.
- Where and when is Moyale Barracks vs Nyasa Big Bullets played?
- Moyale Barracks vs Nyasa Big Bullets is played on November 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Mzuzu Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.