Mitundu Baptist vs MAFCO: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Mitundu Baptist the favourite at 53%, against 31% for a draw and 16% for MAFCO. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mitundu Baptist vs MAFCO?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Mitundu Baptist (1,468) and MAFCO (1,437).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Mitundu Baptist have 5 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; MAFCO have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Nyasa Big Bullets(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chitipa United(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Karonga United(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ekhaya(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Silver Strikers(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CIVO United(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Masters FC(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Blue Eagles(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kamuzu Barracks(away) | 1-4 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Be Forward Wanderers(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Mitundu Baptist win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 MAFCO win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | MAFCO 1-1 Mitundu Baptist | Super League |
Last archived meeting: MAFCO vs Mitundu Baptist on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Mitundu Baptist score 0.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 14; MAFCO score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 33% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitundu Baptist | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/14 | 3/14 |
| MAFCO | 0.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mitundu Baptist sit 7th in Super League (19 points from 14 matches) and MAFCO sit 13th (13 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mitundu Baptist | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 19 |
| 10 | Mitundu Baptist | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | MAFCO | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 13 | MAFCO | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mitundu Baptist vs MAFCO?
- The Footlab model makes Mitundu Baptist the favourite at 53%, against 31% for a draw and 16% for MAFCO.
- Where and when is Mitundu Baptist vs MAFCO played?
- Mitundu Baptist vs MAFCO is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC), in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.