Nykobing FC vs Thisted FC: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Lollands Bank Park, Nykøbing Falster
The Footlab model makes Nykobing FC the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Thisted FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nykobing FC vs Thisted FC?
Nykobing FC starts as the favourite with a 209-point Elo edge (1,900 vs 1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nykobing FC have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Thisted FC have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Middelfart(away) | 3-2 | 2. Division |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Naestved(home) | 1-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | B 93(home) | 4-0 | 2. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Skive(away) | 3-2 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | B 93(home) | 2-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Skive(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VSK Århus(away) | 1-3 | 2. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FA 2000(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Aabybro(away) | 9-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Middelfart(away) | 1-4 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Nykobing FC win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Thisted FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2025 | Nykobing FC 1-2 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| May 9, 2025 | Thisted FC 1-1 Nykobing FC | 2. Division |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Nykobing FC 2-2 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Thisted FC 1-0 Nykobing FC | 2. Division |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Nykobing FC 1-1 Thisted FC | 2. Division |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Thisted FC 2-2 Nykobing FC | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: Nykobing FC vs Thisted FC on Jun 14, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nykobing FC score 2.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Thisted FC score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nykobing FC | 2.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Thisted FC | 1.6 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nykobing FC sit 2nd in 2. Division (10 points from 4 matches) and Thisted FC sit 12th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nykobing FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 10 |
| 12 | Thisted FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nykobing FC vs Thisted FC?
- The Footlab model makes Nykobing FC the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Thisted FC.
- Where and when is Nykobing FC vs Thisted FC played?
- Nykobing FC vs Thisted FC is played on October 25, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Lollands Bank Park, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.