Nyva Vinnytsya vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)NTB Nyva Pole 1, Vinnytsia
The Footlab AI model makes Nyva Vinnytsya the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Podillya Khmelnytskyi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nyva Vinnytsya wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nyva Vinnytsya vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Nyva Vinnytsya (1,636) and Podillya Khmelnytskyi (1,558).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nyva Vinnytsya vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nyva Vinnytsya
4-3-3- 88V. Pogorilyi
- 21N. Popov
- 44M. Nemetskov
- 41Icaro
- 9O. Kalinin
- 17Kostyantyn Kolchin
- 19Y. Moroz
- 8Ivan Ryabyi
- 20O. Melnyk
- 13Anton Vlasenko
- 55I. Ponomarenko
Podillya Khmelnytskyi
4-3-3- 7Y. Kvasov
- 17Anton Demchenko
- 35A. Savin
- 88R. Baran
- 27D. Serbinov
- 77O. Snizhko
- 11V. Shershen
- 19V. Shkinder
- 20O. Nikolyshyn
- 18D. Azizov
- 98I. Ponomarenko
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nyva Vinnytsya have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Podillya Khmelnytskyi have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Skala 1911 Stryi(away) | 2-2 | Druha Liga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dnister Zalishchyky(home) | 2-0 | Druha Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dinaz Vyshhorod(away) | 1-0 | Druha Liga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil II(home) | 4-1 | Druha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vilkhivtsi(home) | 1-2 | Druha Liga |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil II(away) | 2-1 | Druha Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ruh Lviv(away) | 3-2 | Druha Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Skala 1911 Stryi(home) | 2-1 | Druha Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Dnister Zalishchyky(away) | 2-3 | Druha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nyva Vinnytsya win, 1 draw, 4 Podillya Khmelnytskyi wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi 2-1 Nyva Vinnytsya | Druha Liga |
| May 1, 2021 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi 2-0 Nyva Vinnytsya | Druha Liga |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Nyva Vinnytsya 1-2 Podillya Khmelnytskyi | Druha Liga |
| Oct 9, 2019 | Nyva Vinnytsya 2-0 Podillya Khmelnytskyi | Druha Liga |
| Aug 10, 2019 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi 2-1 Nyva Vinnytsya | Druha Liga |
| May 25, 2019 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1-1 Nyva Vinnytsya | Druha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Nyva Vinnytsya on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nyva Vinnytsya score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Podillya Khmelnytskyi score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyva Vinnytsya | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nyva Vinnytsya sit 2nd in Druha Liga (15 points from 8 matches) and Podillya Khmelnytskyi sit 4th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
A question about Nyva Vinnytsya vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nyva Vinnytsya vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nyva Vinnytsya the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Podillya Khmelnytskyi.
- Where and when is Nyva Vinnytsya vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi played?
- Nyva Vinnytsya vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at NTB Nyva Pole 1, in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.