Nyva Vinnytsya vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)NTB Nyva Pole 1, Vinnytsia
The Footlab model makes Nyva Vinnytsya the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Podillya Khmelnytskyi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nyva Vinnytsya vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Nyva Vinnytsya (1,557) and Podillya Khmelnytskyi (1,496).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nyva Vinnytsya have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Podillya Khmelnytskyi have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ruh Lviv(home) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vilkhivtsi(home) | 2-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi(away) | 1-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ruh Lviv(home) | 2-1 | Druha Liga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Chornomorets(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka(home) | 1-3 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya(home) | 2-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bratslav Vinnytsia(away) | 2-3 | Druha Liga |
| May 30, 2026 | Vorskla Poltava(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| May 23, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Nyva Vinnytsya win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Podillya Khmelnytskyi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi 2-1 Nyva Vinnytsya | Druha Liga |
| May 1, 2021 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi 2-0 Nyva Vinnytsya | Druha Liga |
| Oct 17, 2020 | Nyva Vinnytsya 1-2 Podillya Khmelnytskyi | Druha Liga |
| Oct 9, 2019 | Nyva Vinnytsya 2-0 Podillya Khmelnytskyi | Druha Liga |
| Aug 10, 2019 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi 2-1 Nyva Vinnytsya | Druha Liga |
| May 25, 2019 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi 1-1 Nyva Vinnytsya | Druha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Podillya Khmelnytskyi vs Nyva Vinnytsya on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nyva Vinnytsya score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Podillya Khmelnytskyi score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyva Vinnytsya | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nyva Vinnytsya sit 4th in Druha Liga (4 points from 3 matches) and Podillya Khmelnytskyi sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nyva Vinnytsya | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 6 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nyva Vinnytsya vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi?
- The Footlab model makes Nyva Vinnytsya the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Podillya Khmelnytskyi.
- Where and when is Nyva Vinnytsya vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi played?
- Nyva Vinnytsya vs Podillya Khmelnytskyi is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at NTB Nyva Pole 1, in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.