SC Poltava 2 vs Penuel: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes SC Poltava 2 the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Penuel. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Poltava 2 vs Penuel?
SC Poltava 2 starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,577 vs 1,406).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, SC Poltava 2 have 2 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats; Penuel have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rebel(home) | 2-0 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Penuel(away) | 2-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Metalurh Zaporizhya(home) | 0-0 | Druha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Metal Kharkiv(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Metalurh Zaporizhya(away) | 2-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SC Poltava 2(home) | 1-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Karbon Cherkasy(away) | 1-0 | Druha Liga |
| May 22, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(home) | 0-2 | Druha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 SC Poltava 2 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Penuel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Penuel 1-2 SC Poltava 2 | Druha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Penuel vs SC Poltava 2 on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SC Poltava 2 score 1.3 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 3; Penuel score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Poltava 2 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 2 | 1/3 | 1/3 |
| Penuel | 1.0 | 2.1 | 1 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SC Poltava 2 sit 1st in Druha Liga (7 points from 3 matches) and Penuel sit 4th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Poltava 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Penuel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Poltava 2 vs Penuel?
- The Footlab model makes SC Poltava 2 the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Penuel.
- Where and when is SC Poltava 2 vs Penuel played?
- SC Poltava 2 vs Penuel is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.