Karbon Cherkasy vs Rebel: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Karbon Cherkasy the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Rebel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karbon Cherkasy vs Rebel?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Karbon Cherkasy (1,569) and Rebel (1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Karbon Cherkasy have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Rebel have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rebel(away) | 5-3 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Penuel(home) | 0-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Inhulets(home) | 1-2 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SC Poltava 2(away) | 0-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Karbon Cherkasy(home) | 3-5 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Atlet(away) | 3-2 | Druha Liga |
| May 16, 2026 | Chayka(away) | 2-0 | Druha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Karbon Cherkasy win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Rebel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rebel 3-5 Karbon Cherkasy | Druha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Rebel vs Karbon Cherkasy on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Karbon Cherkasy score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 4; Rebel score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karbon Cherkasy | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 2/3 | 2/3 |
| Rebel | 1.5 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karbon Cherkasy sit 5th in Druha Liga (3 points from 2 matches) and Rebel sit 7th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Karbon Cherkasy | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 7 | Rebel | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karbon Cherkasy vs Rebel?
- The Footlab model makes Karbon Cherkasy the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Rebel.
- Where and when is Karbon Cherkasy vs Rebel played?
- Karbon Cherkasy vs Rebel is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.