Lozova vs Trostianets: prediction and stats
Druha LigaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Trostianets the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Lozova. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lozova vs Trostianets?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Lozova (1,516) and Trostianets (1,550).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Lozova have 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Trostianets have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 1-6 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oleksandria II(home) | 1-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Trostianets(away) | 0-2 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Bukovyna(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Polonne(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atlet(away) | 1-1 | Druha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lozova(home) | 2-0 | Druha Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Oleksandria II(home) | 0-1 | Druha Liga |
| May 22, 2026 | Hirnyk-Sport(away) | 1-1 | Druha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Lozova win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Trostianets win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Trostianets 2-0 Lozova | Druha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Lozova score 0.5 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 4; Trostianets score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lozova | 0.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 2/4 | 2/4 |
| Trostianets | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lozova sit 9th in Druha Liga (1 points from 2 matches) and Trostianets sit 3rd (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Trostianets | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Lozova | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lozova vs Trostianets?
- The Footlab model makes Trostianets the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Lozova.
- Where and when is Lozova vs Trostianets played?
- Lozova vs Trostianets is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Druha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.