Where and when is Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising played?

Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Pioneer Stadium, in the USL Championship.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising: prediction and stats

USL ChampionshipGroup StageKick-off on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Pioneer Stadium, Hayward, California

Oakland Roots

Phoenix Rising

The Footlab model makes Phoenix Rising the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Oakland Roots. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Oakland Roots (1,657) and Phoenix Rising (1,731).

Oakland Roots win34 %

Draw28 %

Phoenix Rising win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oakland Roots have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Phoenix Rising have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Oakland Roots
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	San Antonio(away)	1-0	USL Championship
Aug 16, 2026	Monterey Bay(home)	1-1	USL Championship
Aug 9, 2026	El Paso Locomotive(away)	0-1	USL Championship
Aug 6, 2026	Las Vegas Lights(away)	0-0	USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026	Pittsburgh Riverhounds(home)	0-1	USL Championship

Phoenix Rising
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sacramento Republic(away)	2-2	USL Championship
Aug 20, 2026	Colorado Springs(home)	3-1	USL Championship
Aug 8, 2026	Lexington(away)	0-1	USL Championship
Aug 2, 2026	Las Vegas Lights(away)	1-1	USL Championship
Jul 26, 2026	Hartford Athletic(home)	0-0	USL Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Oakland Roots win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Phoenix Rising win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 21, 2026	Phoenix Rising 3-4 Oakland Roots	USL Championship
Mar 22, 2026	Phoenix Rising 2-2 Oakland Roots	USL Championship
Sep 28, 2025	Phoenix Rising 3-3 Oakland Roots	USL Championship
Jul 13, 2025	Oakland Roots 1-2 Phoenix Rising	USL Championship
Oct 13, 2024	Oakland Roots 0-1 Phoenix Rising	USL Championship
Mar 24, 2024	Phoenix Rising 1-0 Oakland Roots	USL Championship

Last archived meeting: Phoenix Rising vs Oakland Roots on Jun 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Oakland Roots score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Phoenix Rising score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Oakland Roots	0.9	1.4	4	7/15	5/15
Phoenix Rising	1.3	1.8	2	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Oakland Roots sit 4th in USL Championship (18 points from 13 matches) and Phoenix Rising sit 5th (17 points from 13 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Oakland Roots	13	4	6	3	19	17	18
5	Phoenix Rising	13	4	5	4	16	15	17
10	Oakland Roots	22	6	8	8	27	30	26
11	Phoenix Rising	21	6	8	7	29	29	26

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising?: The Footlab model makes Phoenix Rising the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Oakland Roots.
Where and when is Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising played?: Oakland Roots vs Phoenix Rising is played on September 27, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Pioneer Stadium, in the USL Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.