Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Obolon Arena, Kyiv
The Footlab model makes Kryvbas KR the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Obolon'-Brovar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR?
Kryvbas KR starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,870 vs 1,696).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Obolon'-Brovar have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Kryvbas KR have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Karpaty(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kudrivka(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bukovyna(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rokyta(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Karpaty(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Oleksandria(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Obolon'-Brovar win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Kryvbas KR win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar 0-0 Kryvbas KR | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Kryvbas KR 2-1 Obolon'-Brovar | Premier League |
| May 17, 2025 | Kryvbas KR 1-0 Obolon'-Brovar | Premier League |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Obolon'-Brovar 0-1 Kryvbas KR | Premier League |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Kryvbas KR 1-0 Obolon'-Brovar | Premier League |
| Aug 28, 2023 | Obolon'-Brovar 0-0 Kryvbas KR | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Obolon'-Brovar score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kryvbas KR score 2.0 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obolon'-Brovar | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Kryvbas KR | 2.0 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Obolon'-Brovar sit 10th in Premier League (2 points from 3 matches) and Kryvbas KR sit 7th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kryvbas KR | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Obolon'-Brovar | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR?
- The Footlab model makes Kryvbas KR the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Obolon'-Brovar.
- Where and when is Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR played?
- Obolon'-Brovar vs Kryvbas KR is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Obolon Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.