Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Avanhard, Lutsk
The Footlab model makes Shakhtar Donetsk the favourite at 71%, against 20% for a draw and 9% for Veres Rivne. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
Shakhtar Donetsk is a heavy favourite: 2,090 Elo points against 1,728, a 363-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Veres Rivne have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Shakhtar Donetsk have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Inhulets(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Karpaty(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Bursaspor(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2026 | HNK Gorica(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Veres Rivne win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Shakhtar Donetsk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 Veres Rivne | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Veres Rivne 0-2 Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Shakhtar Donetsk 3-0 Veres Rivne | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Veres Rivne 1-1 Shakhtar Donetsk | Premier League |
| Dec 8, 2023 | Shakhtar Donetsk 2-0 Veres Rivne | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2023 | Veres Rivne 0-3 Shakhtar Donetsk | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Shakhtar Donetsk vs Veres Rivne on Feb 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Veres Rivne score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Shakhtar Donetsk score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veres Rivne | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Shakhtar Donetsk | 2.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Veres Rivne sit 14th in Premier League (1 points from 3 matches) and Shakhtar Donetsk sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 14 | Veres Rivne | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
- The Footlab model makes Shakhtar Donetsk the favourite at 71%, against 20% for a draw and 9% for Veres Rivne.
- Where and when is Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk played?
- Veres Rivne vs Shakhtar Donetsk is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Avanhard, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.