Livyi Bereh vs Zorya Luhansk: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Livyi Bereh, Kyiv
The Footlab model makes Zorya Luhansk the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Livyi Bereh. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Livyi Bereh vs Zorya Luhansk?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Livyi Bereh (1,788) and Zorya Luhansk (1,845).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Livyi Bereh have 9 wins, 6 draws and 0 defeats; Zorya Luhansk have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dnister Zalishchyky(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Skala 1911 Stryi(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Polessya(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Göztepe(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Livyi Bereh win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Zorya Luhansk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2025 | Zorya Luhansk 2-1 Livyi Bereh | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Livyi Bereh 0-2 Zorya Luhansk | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Zorya Luhansk vs Livyi Bereh on Apr 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Livyi Bereh score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Zorya Luhansk score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livyi Bereh | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Zorya Luhansk | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Livyi Bereh sit 12th in Premier League (2 points from 2 matches) and Zorya Luhansk sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zorya Luhansk | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Livyi Bereh | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Livyi Bereh vs Zorya Luhansk?
- The Footlab model makes Zorya Luhansk the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Livyi Bereh.
- Where and when is Livyi Bereh vs Zorya Luhansk played?
- Livyi Bereh vs Zorya Luhansk is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Livyi Bereh, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.