Obolon'-Brovar vs Karpaty: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Obolon Arena, Kyiv
The Footlab AI model makes Karpaty the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Obolon'-Brovar. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,954 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Obolon'-Brovar vs Karpaty?
Karpaty starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (1,998 vs 1,782).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Obolon'-Brovar vs Karpaty
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Obolon'-Brovar
4-2-3-1- 9D. Ustymenko
- 6M. Chekh
- 7A. Matkevych
- 10O. Slobodyan
- 14A. Shulyanskyi
- 4T. Moroz
- 5Y. Shevchenko
- 3V. Ermakov
- 2D. Kapinus
- 28P. Polehenko
- 1N. Fedorivskyi
Karpaty
4-3-2-1- 26Y. Kostenko
- 8A. Chachua
- 70Xeber Alkain
- 17R. Vantukh
- 31N. Rusyn
- 10Moha
- 4V. Baboglo
- 14Iván Calero
- 73R. Lyakh
- 55T. Stetskov
- 80R. Mysak
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 03:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Obolon'-Brovar have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Karpaty have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Polessya(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Chornomorets(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Oleksandria(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Chornomorets(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Obolon'-Brovar wins, 2 draws, 4 Karpaty wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Karpaty 2-0 Obolon'-Brovar | Cup |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Karpaty 4-0 Obolon'-Brovar | Premier League |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Obolon'-Brovar 0-2 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Obolon'-Brovar 2-2 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Karpaty 1-0 Obolon'-Brovar | Premier League |
| May 27, 2023 | Karpaty 1-1 Obolon'-Brovar | Persha Liga |
Last archived meeting: Karpaty vs Obolon'-Brovar on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Obolon'-Brovar score 0.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Karpaty score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obolon'-Brovar | 0.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Karpaty | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Obolon'-Brovar sit 14th in Premier League (8 points from 11 matches) and Karpaty sit 5th (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Karpaty | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 8 | 19 |
| 14 | Obolon'-Brovar | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 8 |
A question about Obolon'-Brovar vs Karpaty?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Obolon'-Brovar vs Karpaty?
- The Footlab AI model makes Karpaty the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Obolon'-Brovar.
- Where and when is Obolon'-Brovar vs Karpaty played?
- Obolon'-Brovar vs Karpaty is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Obolon Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.