Aerostar Bacau vs Odorheiu Secuiesc: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 1Group 1 · Matchday 16Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Aerostar, Bacău
The Footlab AI model makes Aerostar Bacau the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Odorheiu Secuiesc. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aerostar Bacau wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,672 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aerostar Bacau vs Odorheiu Secuiesc?
On Elo ratings, Aerostar Bacau has 1,515 points and Odorheiu Secuiesc 1,566.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aerostar Bacau vs Odorheiu Secuiesc
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aerostar Bacau
4-3-3- CC. Vraciu
- AA. Popescu
- AA. Tofan
- DD. Burlacu
- VV. Danale
- CC. Ardei
- AA. Alecsandru
- BB. Oteliță
- DDarius Radu Mureșan
- AA. Bobaru
- LL. Cebotari
Odorheiu Secuiesc
Not enough data to predict the Odorheiu Secuiesc lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 11:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aerostar Bacau have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Odorheiu Secuiesc have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | CSM Adjud(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | FC Bacău II(home) | 0-0 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | USV Iaşi(away) | 3-3 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Târgu Secuiesc(away) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Gheorgheni(home) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | CSM Adjud(home) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 23, 2026 | FC Bacău II(away) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 16, 2026 | USV Iaşi(home) | 2-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Viitorul Onesti(away) | 4-2 | Liga III - Serie 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Aerostar Bacau win, 0 draws, 3 Odorheiu Secuiesc wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | Odorheiu Secuiesc 2-0 Aerostar Bacau | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Odorheiu Secuiesc 6-2 Aerostar Bacau | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Odorheiu Secuiesc 1-0 Aerostar Bacau | Liga III - Serie 1 |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Aerostar Bacau 5-3 Odorheiu Secuiesc | Liga III - Serie 1 |
Last archived meeting: Odorheiu Secuiesc vs Aerostar Bacau on Sep 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aerostar Bacau score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Odorheiu Secuiesc score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aerostar Bacau | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Odorheiu Secuiesc | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aerostar Bacau sit 4th in Liga III - Serie 1 (12 points from 7 matches) and Odorheiu Secuiesc sit 8th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aerostar Bacau | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | Odorheiu Secuiesc | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Aerostar Bacau vs Odorheiu Secuiesc?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aerostar Bacau vs Odorheiu Secuiesc?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aerostar Bacau the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Odorheiu Secuiesc.
- Where and when is Aerostar Bacau vs Odorheiu Secuiesc played?
- Aerostar Bacau vs Odorheiu Secuiesc is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Aerostar, in the Liga III - Serie 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.