Odranci vs Šmartno: prediction and stats
3. SNL - EastEast - 11Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Športni park, Odranci
The Footlab model makes Odranci the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Šmartno. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Odranci vs Šmartno?
Odranci starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,520 vs 1,399).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Odranci have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Šmartno have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ljutomer(home) | 3-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Podvinci(away) | 3-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Fužinar(home) | 2-4 | Cup |
| Sep 18, 2024 | NK Polana(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Črenšovci(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Korotan Prevalje(away) | 0-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | NK Ormoz(home) | 2-4 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 23, 2026 | Rače(home) | 0-1 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 16, 2026 | Podvinci(away) | 2-0 | 3. SNL - East |
| May 10, 2026 | Fužinar(home) | 5-0 | 3. SNL - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Odranci score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Šmartno score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odranci | 2.6 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/15 | 13/15 |
| Šmartno | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Odranci sit 1st in 3. SNL - East (6 points from 2 matches) and Šmartno sit 12th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odranci | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 | Šmartno | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Odranci vs Šmartno?
- The Footlab model makes Odranci the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Šmartno.
- Where and when is Odranci vs Šmartno played?
- Odranci vs Šmartno is played on October 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park, in the 3. SNL - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.