OFI vs Asteras Tripolis: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis, Heraklion
The Footlab model makes OFI the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Asteras Tripolis. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win OFI vs Asteras Tripolis?
OFI starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (1,884 vs 1,767).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, OFI have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Asteras Tripolis have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Volos NFC(home) | 2-0 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(away) | 2-2 | Super Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Willem II(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Panetolikos(away) | 1-3 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Levadiakos(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Panetolikos(away) | 2-1 | Super League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 OFI win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Asteras Tripolis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | OFI 4-0 Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 |
| Jan 7, 2026 | OFI 2-0 Asteras Tripolis | Cup |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Asteras Tripolis 3-0 OFI | Super League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | OFI 0-2 Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Asteras Tripolis 2-1 OFI | Super League 1 |
| Apr 2, 2025 | OFI 1-1 Asteras Tripolis | Cup |
Last archived meeting: OFI vs Asteras Tripolis on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
OFI score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Asteras Tripolis score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFI | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Asteras Tripolis | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
OFI sit 4th in Super League 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Asteras Tripolis sit 11th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | OFI | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for OFI vs Asteras Tripolis?
- The Footlab model makes OFI the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Asteras Tripolis.
- Where and when is OFI vs Asteras Tripolis played?
- OFI vs Asteras Tripolis is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.