Panetolikos vs PAOK: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 5Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Panetolikou, Agrinio
The Footlab model makes PAOK the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Panetolikos. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Panetolikos vs PAOK?
PAOK is a heavy favourite: 2,062 Elo points against 1,759 — a 303-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panetolikos have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; PAOK have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 3-1 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kalamata(away) | 2-4 | Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Estac Troyes(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis(home) | 1-2 | Super League 1 |
| May 17, 2026 | Panserraikos(away) | 1-1 | Super League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Levadiakos(home) | 4-0 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Brann(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Anderlecht(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Panetolikos win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 PAOK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | Panetolikos 0-3 PAOK | Super League 1 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | PAOK 0-0 Panetolikos | Super League 1 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Panetolikos 0-1 PAOK | Super League 1 |
| Aug 25, 2024 | PAOK 2-0 Panetolikos | Super League 1 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Panetolikos 1-3 PAOK | Super League 1 |
| Nov 12, 2023 | PAOK 2-1 Panetolikos | Super League 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Panetolikos score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; PAOK score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panetolikos | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| PAOK | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Panetolikos sit 3rd in Super League 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and PAOK sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PAOK | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Panetolikos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Panetolikos vs PAOK?
- The Footlab model makes PAOK the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Panetolikos.
- Where and when is Panetolikos vs PAOK played?
- Panetolikos vs PAOK is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Panetolikou, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.