Ogre vs Smiltene: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on September 23, 2017 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Ogres stadions, Ogre
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ogre have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Smiltene have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2017 | Preiļu BJSS(away) | 2-5 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 10, 2017 | Progress / AFA Olaine(home) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 3, 2017 | Smiltene(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| May 27, 2017 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| May 20, 2017 | BFC Daugavpils(home) | 0-6 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2017 | Tukums(home) | 1-0 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 9, 2017 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 2-2 | 1. Liga |
| Sep 2, 2017 | JDFS Alberts(away) | 2-1 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 26, 2017 | BFC Daugavpils(away) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Aug 19, 2017 | Auda(home) | 1-1 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ogre win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Smiltene win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 2017 | Smiltene 3-1 Ogre | 1. Liga |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Smiltene 6-1 Ogre | 1. Liga |
| May 22, 2016 | Ogre 2-0 Smiltene | 1. Liga |
| Oct 24, 2015 | Smiltene 2-3 Ogre | 1. Liga |
| Jun 21, 2015 | Ogre 3-3 Smiltene | 1. Liga |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Smiltene 1-1 Ogre | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ogre score 1.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Smiltene score 1.4 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ogre | 1.7 | 2.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Smiltene | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Smiltene | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 4 |
| 13 | Smiltene | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy