Ogre vs Tukums: prediction and stats
1. LigaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on August 5, 2017 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Ogres stadions, Ogre
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ogre have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Tukums have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 2017 | Preiļu BJSS(away) | 2-5 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 10, 2017 | Progress / AFA Olaine(home) | 0-3 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 3, 2017 | Smiltene(away) | 1-3 | 1. Liga |
| May 27, 2017 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 2-0 | 1. Liga |
| May 20, 2017 | BFC Daugavpils(home) | 0-6 | 1. Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2017 | Rēzekne FA(away) | 4-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 22, 2017 | BFC Daugavpils(home) | 4-1 | 1. Liga |
| Jul 15, 2017 | Valmiera / BSS(away) | 0-0 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 17, 2017 | Jēkabpils(away) | 1-5 | 1. Liga |
| Jun 10, 2017 | Staiceles Bebri(away) | 3-1 | 1. Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ogre win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Tukums win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2017 | Tukums 1-1 Ogre | 1. Liga |
| Oct 1, 2016 | Tukums 2-1 Ogre | 1. Liga |
| May 29, 2016 | Ogre 1-2 Tukums | 1. Liga |
| Aug 22, 2015 | Tukums 0-2 Ogre | 1. Liga |
| Apr 25, 2015 | Ogre 3-3 Tukums | 1. Liga |
| Nov 1, 2014 | Tukums 7-0 Ogre | 1. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ogre score 1.7 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tukums score 2.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ogre | 1.7 | 2.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Tukums | 2.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy