Match

Oldham vs Accrington ST: prediction and stats

League TwoRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Boundary Park, Oldham, Greater Manchester

OldhamAccrington ST

The Footlab AI model makes Oldham the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Accrington ST. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oldham wins, the most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Oldham vs Accrington ST?

On Elo ratings, Oldham has 1,824 points and Accrington ST 1,774.

59%23%18%
Oldham winDrawAccrington ST win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Oldham vs Accrington ST

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Oldham

4-2-3-1
  1. 9M. Fondop-Talum
  1. 8O. Norburn
  2. 7K. Appiah-Forson
  3. 10C. Kavanagh
  4. 15K. Drummond
  5. 17F. Fawunmi
  1. 3J. Robson
  2. 2G. Scott-Morriss
  3. 23R. Delaney
  4. 6E. Monthe
  1. 1M. Hudson

Accrington ST

3-4-1-2
  1. 39J. Woods
  2. 23T. Walton
  1. 38C. O'Brien
  2. 33D. Tutonda
  3. 2D. Love
  4. 14Stefan Mols
  5. 10Alex Henderson
  1. 17D. Matthews
  2. 28S. Conneely
  3. 25J. Smith
  1. 1L. Moulden

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oldham have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Accrington ST have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Oldham
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 26, 2026Salford City(home)1-4League Two
Sep 22, 2026Fleetwood Town(home)1-0EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Rochdale(away)0-2League Two
Sep 12, 2026Chesterfield(home)1-2League Two
Sep 5, 2026Tranmere(away)0-2League Two
Accrington ST
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 6, 2026Salford City(home)1-1EFL Trophy
Oct 3, 2026Cheltenham(home)2-0League Two
Sep 26, 2026Swindon Town(away)1-1League Two
Sep 22, 2026Sunderland U21(home)3-3EFL Trophy
Sep 19, 2026Newport County(home)0-0League Two

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Oldham win, 1 draw, 3 Accrington ST wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 2026Oldham 3-0 Accrington STLeague Two
Nov 29, 2025Accrington ST 1-0 OldhamLeague Two
Aug 5, 2025Accrington ST 3-1 OldhamLeague Cup
Aug 24, 2021Oldham 0-0 Accrington STLeague Cup
Oct 8, 2019Oldham 0-3 Accrington STEFL Trophy

Last archived meeting: Oldham vs Accrington ST on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Oldham score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Accrington ST score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Oldham1.31.556/158/15
Accrington ST1.51.359/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Oldham sit 21st in League Two (7 points from 8 matches) and Accrington ST sit 16th (10 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16Accrington ST9243131410
21Oldham82159137

A question about Oldham vs Accrington ST?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Oldham vs Accrington ST?
The Footlab AI model makes Oldham the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Accrington ST.
Where and when is Oldham vs Accrington ST played?
Oldham vs Accrington ST is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Boundary Park, in the League Two.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Oldham and Accrington ST

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