Shrewsbury vs Exeter City: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury, Shropshire
The Footlab AI model makes Exeter City the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Shrewsbury. The most likely score is 1-1. If Exeter City wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Exeter City?
Exeter City starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,732).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shrewsbury vs Exeter City
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shrewsbury
3-4-1-2- 9G. Lloyd
- 8Isaac Andrew Fletcher
- 10T. Sang
- 11K. Berkoe
- 2L. Hoole
- 7J. Turner-Cooke
- 18K. M. Brown
- 6S. Stubbs
- 5W. Boyle
- 3J. Ruffels
- 1William Michael Brook
Exeter City
4-2-3-1- 10J. Gordon
- 16C. Cummins
- 31J. Doyle-Hayes
- 8T. Perry
- 20George Birch
- 12R. Cole
- 5J. Fitzwater
- 3L. Woodhouse
- 2L. Samuel
- 6J. Taylor
- 1J. Bycroft
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shrewsbury have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Exeter City have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 0-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tranmere(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Shrewsbury win, 2 draws, 3 Exeter City wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Exeter City 2-0 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Oct 17, 2024 | Shrewsbury 0-2 Exeter City | League One |
| Mar 12, 2024 | Shrewsbury 0-3 Exeter City | League One |
| Nov 28, 2023 | Exeter City 0-0 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Feb 14, 2023 | Exeter City 0-0 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Sep 13, 2022 | Shrewsbury 3-2 Exeter City | League One |
Last archived meeting: Exeter City vs Shrewsbury on Mar 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Shrewsbury score 0.8 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Exeter City score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Exeter City | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shrewsbury sit 14th in League Two (11 points from 9 matches) and Exeter City sit 20th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Shrewsbury | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 11 |
| 20 | Exeter City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 9 |
A question about Shrewsbury vs Exeter City?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shrewsbury vs Exeter City?
- The Footlab AI model makes Exeter City the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Shrewsbury.
- Where and when is Shrewsbury vs Exeter City played?
- Shrewsbury vs Exeter City is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Croud Meadow, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.