Where and when is Górnik Łęczna vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała played?

Górnik Łęczna vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Bogdanka Arena, in the II Liga - East.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Górnik Łęczna vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała: prediction and stats

II Liga - EastRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Bogdanka Arena, Łęczna

Górnik Łęczna

Rekord Bielsko-Biała

The Footlab model makes Górnik Łęczna the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Rekord Bielsko-Biała. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Górnik Łęczna vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Górnik Łęczna (1,773) and Rekord Bielsko-Biała (1,821).

Górnik Łęczna win37 %

Draw26 %

Rekord Bielsko-Biała win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Górnik Łęczna have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Rekord Bielsko-Biała have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Górnik Łęczna
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away)	1-1	II Liga - East
Aug 14, 2026	Podhale Nowy Targ(home)	5-2	II Liga - East
Aug 9, 2026	Śląsk Wrocław II(away)	0-2	II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026	Kalisz(home)	2-0	Cup
Aug 1, 2026	Avia Świdnik(home)	0-1	II Liga - East

Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Olimpia Grudziądz(home)	1-2	II Liga - East
Aug 15, 2026	Sokół Kleczew(away)	0-3	II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026	Stal Stalowa Wola(home)	3-1	II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026	Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away)	0-3	Cup
Aug 2, 2026	Zawisza Bydgoszcz(home)	3-0	II Liga - East

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Górnik Łęczna win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Rekord Bielsko-Biała win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 29, 2019	Rekord Bielsko-Biała 0-2 Górnik Łęczna	Cup

Last archived meeting: Rekord Bielsko-Biała vs Górnik Łęczna on Oct 29, 2019

How many goals should we expect?

Górnik Łęczna score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rekord Bielsko-Biała score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Górnik Łęczna	1.3	1.9	1	8/15	8/15
Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1.1	1.3	4	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Górnik Łęczna sit 8th in II Liga - East (7 points from 5 matches) and Rekord Bielsko-Biała sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Górnik Łęczna	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
9	Rekord Bielsko-Biała	5	2	1	2	8	7	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Górnik Łęczna vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała?: The Footlab model makes Górnik Łęczna the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Rekord Bielsko-Biała.
Where and when is Górnik Łęczna vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała played?: Górnik Łęczna vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała is played on August 30, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Bogdanka Arena, in the II Liga - East.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.