Match

Avia Świdnik vs Lechia Zielona Góra: prediction and stats

II Liga - EastRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Świdnik, Świdnik

Avia ŚwidnikLechia Zielona Góra

The Footlab model makes Avia Świdnik the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Lechia Zielona Góra. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Avia Świdnik vs Lechia Zielona Góra?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Avia Świdnik (1,966) and Lechia Zielona Góra (1,900).

Avia Świdnik win49 %
Draw25 %
Lechia Zielona Góra win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avia Świdnik have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Lechia Zielona Góra have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Avia Świdnik
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Zawisza Bydgoszcz(home)1-4II Liga - East
Aug 16, 2026Stal Stalowa Wola(away)0-4II Liga - East
Aug 9, 2026Sandecja Nowy Sącz(home)3-0II Liga - East
Aug 1, 2026Górnik Łęczna(away)1-0II Liga - East
Jul 26, 2026Olimpia Grudziądz(home)4-1II Liga - East
Lechia Zielona Góra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Hutnik Kraków(home)1-1II Liga - East
Aug 16, 2026Zawisza Bydgoszcz(away)1-2II Liga - East
Aug 8, 2026Sokół Kleczew(home)6-1II Liga - East
Aug 1, 2026Olimpia Grudziądz(home)2-2II Liga - East
Jul 25, 2026Rekord Bielsko-Biała(home)1-1II Liga - East

How many goals should we expect?

Avia Świdnik score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lechia Zielona Góra score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Avia Świdnik2.11.159/159/15
Lechia Zielona Góra2.11.3311/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Avia Świdnik sit 5th in II Liga - East (9 points from 5 matches) and Lechia Zielona Góra sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Avia Świdnik5302999
11Lechia Zielona Góra51311176

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Avia Świdnik vs Lechia Zielona Góra?
The Footlab model makes Avia Świdnik the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Lechia Zielona Góra.
Where and when is Avia Świdnik vs Lechia Zielona Góra played?
Avia Świdnik vs Lechia Zielona Góra is played on August 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Świdnik, in the II Liga - East.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Avia Świdnik and Lechia Zielona Góra

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