Olimpia Zambrów vs Jagiellonia II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Zambrów
The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Olimpia Zambrów. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olimpia Zambrów vs Jagiellonia II?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Olimpia Zambrów (1,704) and Jagiellonia II (1,775).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Zambrów have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Jagiellonia II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Swit(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 5-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Olimpia Zambrów win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Jagiellonia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | Jagiellonia II 3-0 Olimpia Zambrów | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2024 | Jagiellonia II 2-0 Olimpia Zambrów | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Olimpia Zambrów 0-1 Jagiellonia II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Jagiellonia II 2-1 Olimpia Zambrów | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 17, 2022 | Olimpia Zambrów 0-4 Jagiellonia II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Olimpia Zambrów 1-2 Jagiellonia II | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia II vs Olimpia Zambrów on Jan 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Olimpia Zambrów score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia II score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia Zambrów | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Jagiellonia II | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olimpia Zambrów sit 7th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Jagiellonia II sit 10th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Olimpia Zambrów | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olimpia Zambrów vs Jagiellonia II?
- The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Olimpia Zambrów.
- Where and when is Olimpia Zambrów vs Jagiellonia II played?
- Olimpia Zambrów vs Jagiellonia II is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Wigry SuwałkivsŁomża
- Nov 7, 2026Olimpia ElblągvsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Nov 7, 2026Pelikan ŁowiczvsWeszlo
- Nov 7, 2026Warta SieradzvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Nov 7, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsSwit
- Nov 7, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsTroszyn
- Nov 7, 2026Widzew IIvsŁKS Łódź II
- Nov 7, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsMławianka Mława