Wigry Suwałki vs Łomża: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Suwałki
The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Łomża. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wigry Suwałki vs Łomża?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Wigry Suwałki (1,834) and Łomża (1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wigry Suwałki have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Łomża have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Wigry Suwałki win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Łomża win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki 1-0 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Łomża 1-1 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 17, 2025 | Wigry Suwałki 0-3 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Łomża 1-0 Wigry Suwałki | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Łomża 2-1 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Łomża 3-1 Wigry Suwałki | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Wigry Suwałki vs Łomża on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigry Suwałki | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Łomża | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wigry Suwałki sit 6th in III Liga - Group 1 (9 points from 5 matches) and Łomża sit 15th (2 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wigry Suwałki | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 15 | Łomża | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wigry Suwałki vs Łomża?
- The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Łomża.
- Where and when is Wigry Suwałki vs Łomża played?
- Wigry Suwałki vs Łomża is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 7, 2026Olimpia ElblągvsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Nov 7, 2026Olimpia ZambrówvsJagiellonia II
- Nov 7, 2026Pelikan ŁowiczvsWeszlo
- Nov 7, 2026Warta SieradzvsLechia T. Mazowiecki
- Nov 7, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsSwit
- Nov 7, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsTroszyn
- Nov 7, 2026Widzew IIvsŁKS Łódź II
- Nov 7, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsMławianka Mława