Wigry Suwałki vs Jagiellonia II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 19Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Suwałki
The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Jagiellonia II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Wigry Suwałki vs Jagiellonia II?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Wigry Suwałki (1,834) and Jagiellonia II (1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wigry Suwałki have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Jagiellonia II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Wigry Suwałki win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Jagiellonia II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jagiellonia II 1-1 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Wigry Suwałki 1-0 Jagiellonia II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Jagiellonia II 3-1 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 11, 2025 | Jagiellonia II 1-0 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Jagiellonia II 2-2 Wigry Suwałki | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Wigry Suwałki 1-1 Jagiellonia II | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia II vs Wigry Suwałki on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Jagiellonia II score 1.6 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigry Suwałki | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Jagiellonia II | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Wigry Suwałki sit 7th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 4 matches) and Jagiellonia II sit 9th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wigry Suwałki | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Wigry Suwałki vs Jagiellonia II?
- The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Jagiellonia II.
- Where and when is Wigry Suwałki vs Jagiellonia II played?
- Wigry Suwałki vs Jagiellonia II is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Olimpia ZambrówvsSwit
- Nov 28, 2026Pelikan ŁowiczvsMławianka Mława
- Nov 28, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsWisła Płock II
- Nov 28, 2026Warta SieradzvsŁKS Łódź II
- Nov 28, 2026Polonia Lidzbark Warm.vsOlimpia Elbląg
- Nov 28, 2026Widzew IIvsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Nov 28, 2026Mazovia Minsk MazowieckivsTroszyn
- Nov 28, 2026WeszlovsŁomża