Where and when is Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Troszyn played?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Troszyn is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Troszyn: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 1Group I - 16Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.

Troszyn

The Footlab model makes Troszyn the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm.. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Troszyn?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Polonia Lidzbark Warm. (1,666) and Troszyn (1,750).

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. win30 %

Draw23 %

Troszyn win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Polonia Lidzbark Warm. have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Troszyn have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Widzew II(away)	1-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Olimpia Zambrów(home)	2-3	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 15, 2026	Wisła Płock II(home)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 7, 2026	Olimpia Elbląg(away)	2-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 1, 2026	Swit(home)	1-2	III Liga - Group 1

Troszyn
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Pelikan Łowicz(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 19, 2026	Warta Sieradz(home)	1-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 14, 2026	Wigry Suwałki(away)	0-1	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 8, 2026	Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home)	1-4	III Liga - Group 1
Aug 2, 2026	Widzew II(away)	1-5	III Liga - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Troszyn score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	1.2	1.8	3	10/15	9/15
Troszyn	1.3	1.8	2	10/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Polonia Lidzbark Warm. sit 16th in III Liga - Group 1 (1 points from 5 matches) and Troszyn sit 17th (1 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
16	Polonia Lidzbark Warm.	5	0	1	4	7	14	1
17	Troszyn	5	0	1	4	4	15	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Troszyn?: The Footlab model makes Troszyn the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Polonia Lidzbark Warm..
Where and when is Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Troszyn played?: Polonia Lidzbark Warm. vs Troszyn is played on November 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the III Liga - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.