Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje: prediction and stats
1. SNLRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Stožice, Ljubljana
The Footlab model makes Celje the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Olimpija Ljubljana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje?
Celje starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,947 vs 1,783).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpija Ljubljana have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Celje have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Nafta(home) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maribor(home) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Celje(away) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Mura(away) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nafta(away) | 3-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Olimpija Ljubljana(home) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Olimpija Ljubljana win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Celje win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Celje 1-0 Olimpija Ljubljana | 1. SNL |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Celje 2-0 Olimpija Ljubljana | 1. SNL |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Olimpija Ljubljana 3-1 Celje | 1. SNL |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 Celje | Cup |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Celje 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana | 1. SNL |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Olimpija Ljubljana 0-5 Celje | 1. SNL |
Last archived meeting: Celje vs Olimpija Ljubljana on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olimpija Ljubljana score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Celje score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpija Ljubljana | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Celje | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olimpija Ljubljana sit 7th in 1. SNL (7 points from 6 matches) and Celje sit 2nd (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celje | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | Celje | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 7 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje?
- The Footlab model makes Celje the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Olimpija Ljubljana.
- Where and when is Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje played?
- Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje is played on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Stožice, in the 1. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.