Nafta vs Aluminij: prediction and stats
1. SNLRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Športni park Lendava, Lendava
The Footlab AI model makes Nafta the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Aluminij. The most likely score is 1-1. If Nafta wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nafta vs Aluminij?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Nafta (1,777) and Aluminij (1,699).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Nafta vs Aluminij
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Nafta
4-3-3- 17A. Maroša
- 7Josip Ivan Zorica
- 21Shyon Omrani
- 41Kimi Lavrencic
- 18A. Pihler
- 8M. Ogwuche
- 2R. Pirtovšek
- 33L. Poredoš
- 98Á. Drágoner
- 20Andre Ferreira
- 1Lucas Erjavsek
Aluminij
4-3-3- 45B. Susso
- 44P. Petriško
- 11B. Osuji
- 14T. Jagić
- 13M. Vrbanec
- 7E. Taylor
- 32V. Težak
- 6D. Šimunić
- 4R. Schaubach
- 5M. Boben
- 31F. Raduha
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nafta have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Aluminij have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bravo(home) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Koper(away) | 0-2 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(away) | 2-1 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Radomlje(home) | 3-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Maribor(home) | 2-3 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Celje(away) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Maribor(away) | 2-2 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mura(away) | 6-1 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bravo(home) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Celje(home) | 0-2 | 1. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Nafta win, 2 draws, 1 Aluminij win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Aluminij 1-1 Nafta | 1. SNL |
| Mar 17, 2023 | Aluminij 1-1 Nafta | 2. SNL |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Nafta 1-3 Aluminij | 2. SNL |
| Jun 30, 2021 | Aluminij 2-3 Nafta | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Nafta score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aluminij score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nafta | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Aluminij | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nafta sit 4th in 1. SNL (16 points from 11 matches) and Aluminij sit 7th (13 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nafta | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 16 |
| 7 | Aluminij | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 13 |
A question about Nafta vs Aluminij?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nafta vs Aluminij?
- The Footlab AI model makes Nafta the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Aluminij.
- Where and when is Nafta vs Aluminij played?
- Nafta vs Aluminij is played on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Športni park Lendava, in the 1. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.