Koper vs Maribor: prediction and stats
1. SNLRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)ŠRC Bonifika, Koper
The Footlab model makes Koper the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Maribor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Koper vs Maribor?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Koper (1,882) and Maribor (1,839).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Koper have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Maribor have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mura(away) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bravo(home) | 0-0 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Maribor(away) | 0-2 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(away) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Jul 30, 2026 | NSI Runavik(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bravo(home) | 3-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olimpija Ljubljana(away) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Koper(home) | 2-0 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Celje(away) | 1-1 | 1. SNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(home) | 3-0 | 1. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Koper win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Maribor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Maribor 2-0 Koper | 1. SNL |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Koper 3-1 Maribor | 1. SNL |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Maribor 2-0 Koper | 1. SNL |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Koper 1-0 Maribor | 1. SNL |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Maribor 2-2 Koper | 1. SNL |
| May 18, 2025 | Koper 1-1 Maribor | 1. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Koper score 1.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Maribor score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koper | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Maribor | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Koper sit 1st in 1. SNL (3 points from 1 matches) and Maribor sit 1st (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maribor | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 12 |
| 1 | Koper | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Koper | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Koper vs Maribor?
- The Footlab model makes Koper the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Maribor.
- Where and when is Koper vs Maribor played?
- Koper vs Maribor is played on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at ŠRC Bonifika, in the 1. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.