Radomlje vs Mura: prediction and stats
1. SNLRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Športni Park, Domžale
The Footlab model makes Radomlje the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Mura. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Radomlje vs Mura?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Radomlje (1,649) and Mura (1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Radomlje have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Mura have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Aluminij(home) | 1-3 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Mura(away) | 3-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Bravo(home) | 1-2 | 1. SNL |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Koper(away) | 2-2 | 1. SNL |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(home) | 0-2 | 1. SNL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Koper(home) | 0-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Brinje-Grosuplje(away) | 2-1 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Radomlje(home) | 1-3 | 1. SNL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nafta(away) | 2-5 | 1. SNL |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Olimpija Ljubljana(home) | 1-0 | 1. SNL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Radomlje win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Mura win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | Mura 1-3 Radomlje | 1. SNL |
| May 22, 2026 | Radomlje 3-2 Mura | 1. SNL |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Mura 2-0 Radomlje | 1. SNL |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Radomlje 3-1 Mura | 1. SNL |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Mura 0-0 Radomlje | 1. SNL |
| May 3, 2025 | Radomlje 2-0 Mura | 1. SNL |
How many goals should we expect?
Radomlje score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Mura score 1.1 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radomlje | 1.3 | 1.9 | 0 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Mura | 1.1 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Radomlje sit 10th in 1. SNL (4 points from 5 matches) and Mura sit 3rd (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mura | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Mura | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 7 |
| 10 | Radomlje | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Radomlje vs Mura?
- The Footlab model makes Radomlje the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for Mura.
- Where and when is Radomlje vs Mura played?
- Radomlje vs Mura is played on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Športni Park, in the 1. SNL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.