Match

Oliveira Hospital vs Sertanense: prediction and stats

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C · Matchday 21Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Tábua, Tábua

Oliveira HospitalSertanense

The Footlab AI model makes Oliveira Hospital the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Sertanense. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 5,995 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Oliveira Hospital vs Sertanense?

Oliveira Hospital starts as the favourite with a 214-point Elo edge (1,956 vs 1,742).

52%28%20%
Oliveira Hospital winDrawSertanense win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Oliveira Hospital vs Sertanense

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Oliveira Hospital

4-3-3
  1. 70Simão
  2. 24G. Barros
  3. 48E. Araujo
  1. 17Araujo Joao
  2. 8J. Monteiro
  3. 6G. de Andrade Tiburcio
  1. 23Marcos Bebê
  2. 52Carlos Ventura
  3. 5Ze Simao
  4. 3Francisco Teixeira Ribeiro Emanuel
  1. 99L. Silva

Sertanense

4-3-3
  1. MM. Emmanuel
  2. DDiogo Teixeira
  3. DDavi Barbosa
  1. 5Tiago Rodrigues
  2. MMauro Santos
  3. DDavid Morais
  1. GGabriel Morais Piçarra
  2. DDaniel Xavier
  3. EElvis Landim
  4. JJoão André Farinha Tomás
  1. DDaniel Leitão

Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:04 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oliveira Hospital have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Sertanense have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Oliveira Hospital
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Sertanense(away)2-1Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
Nov 1, 2026AD Nogueirense(home)3-3Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
Oct 25, 2026Nazarenos(away)1-1Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
Oct 18, 2026Olhanense(away)1-1Taça de Portugal
Oct 11, 2026FC Alverca II(home)3-1Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
Sertanense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Oliveira Hospital(home)1-2Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
Nov 1, 2026Nazarenos(away)0-0Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
Oct 25, 2026Fátima(home)2-2Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
Oct 11, 2026Os Marialvas(away)0-0Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
Sep 27, 2026O Elvas(away)0-2Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Oliveira Hospital win, 2 draws, 1 Sertanense win.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Sertanense 1-2 Oliveira HospitalCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C
Feb 16, 2021Sertanense 1-1 Oliveira HospitalCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group E
Oct 4, 2020Oliveira Hospital 1-3 SertanenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group E
Jan 12, 2020Oliveira Hospital 1-1 SertanenseCampeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C

Last archived meeting: Sertanense vs Oliveira Hospital on Nov 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Oliveira Hospital score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sertanense score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Oliveira Hospital1.61.1510/157/15
Sertanense0.71.337/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Oliveira Hospital sit 4th in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (14 points from 7 matches) and Sertanense sit 12th (5 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Oliveira Hospital742113914
12Sertanense7052595

A question about Oliveira Hospital vs Sertanense?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Oliveira Hospital vs Sertanense?
The Footlab AI model makes Oliveira Hospital the favourite at 52%, against 28% for a draw and 20% for Sertanense.
Where and when is Oliveira Hospital vs Sertanense played?
Oliveira Hospital vs Sertanense is played on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Tábua, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Oliveira Hospital and Sertanense