Os Marialvas vs Benfica Castelo Branco: prediction and stats
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group CGroup C - 21Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Cantanhede, Cantanhede
The Footlab AI model makes Os Marialvas the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Benfica Castelo Branco. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,183 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Os Marialvas vs Benfica Castelo Branco?
Os Marialvas starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,926 vs 1,827).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Os Marialvas vs Benfica Castelo Branco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Os Marialvas
4-3-3- 40Y. Sonhi
- 55Paulinho
- 9A. Undonque
- 8G. Pinto
- 45G. Batalha
- 6L. Maia
- 7Gonçalo Lixa
- 10João Silva
- 3S. Fernandes
- 20A. Santos
- 32Bruno Souza
Benfica Castelo Branco
4-3-3- 85N. Gaspar
- 16A. Vagarinho
- 11Sacra
- 23G. Isaias
- 6David Peres
- 21J. Cruz
- 2Pedro Vieira
- 4P. Correia
- 15F. Celestino
- 22D. Preto
- 1D. Romana
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 02:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Os Marialvas have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Benfica Castelo Branco have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco(away) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Nov 1, 2026 | UD da Serra(home) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Fazendense(away) | 2-1 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Chaves(away) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sertanense(home) | 0-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Os Marialvas(home) | 0-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Atlético Malveira(away) | 2-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 25, 2026 | O Elvas(home) | 1-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mortágua(away) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Sep 13, 2026 | AD Nogueirense(home) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 5 Os Marialvas wins, 0 draws, 0 Benfica Castelo Branco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco 0-3 Os Marialvas | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Benfica Castelo Branco 0-1 Os Marialvas | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Os Marialvas 2-1 Benfica Castelo Branco | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Os Marialvas 1-0 Benfica Castelo Branco | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Benfica Castelo Branco 1-2 Os Marialvas | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C |
Last archived meeting: Benfica Castelo Branco vs Os Marialvas on Nov 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Os Marialvas score 1.5 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Benfica Castelo Branco score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Os Marialvas | 1.5 | 0.5 | 10 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Benfica Castelo Branco | 1.2 | 1.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Os Marialvas sit 1st in Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C (16 points from 7 matches) and Benfica Castelo Branco sit 6th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Os Marialvas | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Benfica Castelo Branco | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
A question about Os Marialvas vs Benfica Castelo Branco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Os Marialvas vs Benfica Castelo Branco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Os Marialvas the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for Benfica Castelo Branco.
- Where and when is Os Marialvas vs Benfica Castelo Branco played?
- Os Marialvas vs Benfica Castelo Branco is played on March 7, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal de Cantanhede, in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.