Olympiakos Piraeus vs Asteras Tripolis: prediction and stats
Super League 1Regular Season - 20Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki, Piraeus
The Footlab model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Asteras Tripolis. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olympiakos Piraeus vs Asteras Tripolis?
Olympiakos Piraeus is a heavy favourite: 2,098 Elo points against 1,767 — a 331-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olympiakos Piraeus have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Asteras Tripolis have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atromitos(home) | 1-0 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 11, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | AZ Alkmaar(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Panetolikos(away) | 1-3 | Super League 1 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Levadiakos(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 21, 2026 | Panetolikos(away) | 2-1 | Super League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Olympiakos Piraeus win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Asteras Tripolis win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | Asteras Tripolis 0-3 Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Asteras Tripolis 1-2 Olympiakos Piraeus | Cup |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Olympiakos Piraeus 2-0 Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Olympiakos Piraeus 1-1 Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Asteras Tripolis 1-0 Olympiakos Piraeus | Super League 1 |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Olympiakos Piraeus 2-1 Asteras Tripolis | Super League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Asteras Tripolis vs Olympiakos Piraeus on Feb 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olympiakos Piraeus score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Asteras Tripolis score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos Piraeus | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Asteras Tripolis | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olympiakos Piraeus sit 6th in Super League 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Asteras Tripolis sit 11th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olympiakos Piraeus vs Asteras Tripolis?
- The Footlab model makes Olympiakos Piraeus the favourite at 70%, against 20% for a draw and 10% for Asteras Tripolis.
- Where and when is Olympiakos Piraeus vs Asteras Tripolis played?
- Olympiakos Piraeus vs Asteras Tripolis is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki, in the Super League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.