Rukinzo vs Bumamuru: prediction and stats
Ligue ARegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC)Stade Intwari, Bujumbura
The Footlab AI model makes Rukinzo the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Bumamuru. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rukinzo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rukinzo vs Bumamuru?
On Elo ratings, Rukinzo has 1,603 points and Bumamuru 1,545.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rukinzo vs Bumamuru
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rukinzo
4-3-3- 25Issa Bigirimana
- 5A. Habimana
- 10D. Maniriho
- 11B. Rukundo
- 8D. Ntibazonkiza
- 28J. Petit Nzeyimana
- 24D. Nzeyimana
- 2A. Nzigiyimana
- 15P. Mutimana
- 19A. Icoyitungiye
- 23Y. Rugumandiye
Bumamuru
4-3-3- 11A. Shabani Valentin
- 10A. Ndikumana
- 7T. Ngabirano
- 8T. Ndikumana
- 14M. Eldhino
- 15S. Ramadhani
- 2I. Hakizimana
- 30F. Ndikumana
- 17F. Ndagijimana
- 21A. Mama
- 1H. Nduwimana
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 07:59 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rukinzo have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Bumamuru have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Young Star(home) | 7-0 | Ligue A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Durban City(home) | 1-2 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Durban City(away) | 0-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Olympic Star(home) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Musongati(away) | 0-0 | Ligue A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Young Star(away) | 3-0 | Ligue A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Flambeau du Centre(home) | 0-1 | Ligue A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Olympic Star(away) | 1-3 | Ligue A |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Musongati(home) | 2-0 | Ligue A |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Panthere Noir(away) | 1-1 | Ligue A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Rukinzo win, 1 draw, 4 Bumamuru wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Bumamuru 0-4 Rukinzo | Ligue A |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Rukinzo 0-1 Bumamuru | Ligue A |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Bumamuru 1-1 Rukinzo | Ligue A |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Rukinzo 0-2 Bumamuru | Ligue A |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Rukinzo 0-1 Bumamuru | Ligue A |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Bumamuru 2-0 Rukinzo | Ligue A |
How many goals should we expect?
Rukinzo score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bumamuru score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rukinzo | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Bumamuru | 1.0 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rukinzo sit 6th in Ligue A (8 points from 4 matches) and Bumamuru sit 11th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rukinzo | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Bumamuru | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
A question about Rukinzo vs Bumamuru?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rukinzo vs Bumamuru?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rukinzo the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Bumamuru.
- Where and when is Rukinzo vs Bumamuru played?
- Rukinzo vs Bumamuru is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC) at Stade Intwari, in the Ligue A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.