Orebro SK vs United Nordic: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Behrn Arena, Örebro
The Footlab model makes United Nordic the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Orebro SK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Orebro SK vs United Nordic?
United Nordic starts as the favourite with a 194-point Elo edge (1,762 vs 1,568).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Orebro SK have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; United Nordic have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sollentuna(away) | 4-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 14, 2026 | IK brage(away) | 3-3 | Superettan |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Norrby IF(away) | 1-3 | Superettan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | IFK Varnamo(home) | 1-3 | Superettan |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Oddevold(home) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | IK brage(away) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Varbergs BoIS FC(home) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Falkenbergs FF(away) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ljungskile SK(home) | 2-2 | Superettan |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Helsingborg(away) | 1-1 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Orebro SK win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 United Nordic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | United Nordic 2-0 Orebro SK | Superettan |
Last archived meeting: United Nordic vs Orebro SK on Jul 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Orebro SK score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; United Nordic score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orebro SK | 1.2 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| United Nordic | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Orebro SK sit 15th in Superettan (16 points from 19 matches) and United Nordic sit 5th (32 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | United Nordic | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 27 | 32 |
| 15 | Orebro SK | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 31 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Orebro SK vs United Nordic?
- The Footlab model makes United Nordic the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Orebro SK.
- Where and when is Orebro SK vs United Nordic played?
- Orebro SK vs United Nordic is played on September 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Behrn Arena, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.