IFK Varnamo vs Osters IF: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Finnvedsvallen, Värnamo
The Footlab model makes Osters IF the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for IFK Varnamo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win IFK Varnamo vs Osters IF?
Osters IF starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,695 vs 1,591).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, IFK Varnamo have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Osters IF have 8, 0 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Växjö Norra(away) | 3-1 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Helsingborg(away) | 2-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Orebro SK(away) | 3-1 | Superettan |
| Jul 25, 2026 | IK brage(home) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Högaborg(away) | 4-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ljungskile SK(away) | 3-2 | Superettan |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Landskrona BoIS(home) | 0-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(away) | 0-1 | Superettan |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Varbergs BoIS FC(home) | 3-0 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 IFK Varnamo win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Osters IF win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Osters IF 3-0 IFK Varnamo | Superettan |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Osters IF 4-3 IFK Varnamo | Allsvenskan |
| May 24, 2025 | IFK Varnamo 1-1 Osters IF | Allsvenskan |
| Feb 10, 2024 | IFK Varnamo 3-1 Osters IF | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Osters IF 0-1 IFK Varnamo | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 12, 2021 | Osters IF 2-0 IFK Varnamo | Superettan |
Last archived meeting: Osters IF vs IFK Varnamo on Jun 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
IFK Varnamo score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Osters IF score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IFK Varnamo | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Osters IF | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
IFK Varnamo sit 14th in Superettan (18 points from 19 matches) and Osters IF sit 8th (29 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Osters IF | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 29 |
| 14 | IFK Varnamo | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 37 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for IFK Varnamo vs Osters IF?
- The Footlab model makes Osters IF the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for IFK Varnamo.
- Where and when is IFK Varnamo vs Osters IF played?
- IFK Varnamo vs Osters IF is played on September 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Finnvedsvallen, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.