Norrby IF vs Varbergs BoIS FC: prediction and stats
SuperettanRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Borås Arena, Borås
The Footlab model makes Varbergs BoIS FC the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Norrby IF. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Norrby IF vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Norrby IF (1,676) and Varbergs BoIS FC (1,733).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Norrby IF have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Varbergs BoIS FC have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 1-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Falkenbergs FF(away) | 0-2 | Superettan |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Orebro SK(home) | 3-1 | Superettan |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Oddevold(away) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ostersunds FK(home) | 2-2 | Superettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Orebro SK(away) | 1-2 | Superettan |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Böljan(away) | 5-0 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | United Nordic(away) | 0-0 | Superettan |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 0-1 | Superettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Falkenbergs FF(home) | 2-1 | Superettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Norrby IF win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Varbergs BoIS FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Varbergs BoIS FC 4-2 Norrby IF | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Varbergs BoIS FC 2-0 Norrby IF | Superettan |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Varbergs BoIS FC 3-2 Norrby IF | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 16, 2022 | Varbergs BoIS FC 1-1 Norrby IF | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Norrby IF 2-3 Varbergs BoIS FC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 15, 2019 | Norrby IF 1-1 Varbergs BoIS FC | Superettan |
Last archived meeting: Varbergs BoIS FC vs Norrby IF on Jul 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Norrby IF score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Varbergs BoIS FC score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norrby IF | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Varbergs BoIS FC | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Norrby IF sit 12th in Superettan (23 points from 20 matches) and Varbergs BoIS FC sit 3rd (34 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Varbergs BoIS FC | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 34 |
| 12 | Norrby IF | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 25 | 27 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Norrby IF vs Varbergs BoIS FC?
- The Footlab model makes Varbergs BoIS FC the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Norrby IF.
- Where and when is Norrby IF vs Varbergs BoIS FC played?
- Norrby IF vs Varbergs BoIS FC is played on September 14, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Borås Arena, in the Superettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.